Temp

From Quick Shot
Revision as of 01:13, 16 January 2013 by Bryanhm (talk | contribs)
(diff) ← Older revision | Latest revision (diff) | Newer revision → (diff)
Jump to: navigation, search
Outlays
basic equipment (5) $50,000
light power armor (4) $400,000
power armor damage $20,000
covert transportation $10,000
total $480,000

Analyzed package comprises software and computer data

  • Proprietary business data of Rio Equipment, estimated value $3,000,000-7,000,000.
    • for full value, sell openly, become social pariah
    • d% return value to launder, reduces detection chance to 10% per quarter for four quarters. (72.9% ok)
  • Customized control software and business software for industrial manufacturing of heavy equipment, estimated value $0-500,000.
    • for full value, sell openly, become social pariah
    • d% return value to launder, reduces detection chance to 5% per quarter for two quarters.
  • Malignant software appropriate for industrial sabotage, estimated value $50,000,000-250,000,000.
  • Performance data for software, estimated value $25,000,000-125,000,000
    • for full value, sell openly, gain John Avalon's antagonism
    • d% return value to launder, reduces detection chance to 20% per quarter for four quarters. (40.96% ok)

Outstanding offer from Deadlock Security to Avalon Hill Reclamation for exclusive sale of complete package for $2,500,000 in Deadlock stock (67,568 shares at today's prices). Estimated 1-4 months to introduce product based on package, estimated resulting share price $31-$57.

Deadlock Security is a publicly traded with primarily investment from within the Orchid group. Currently 6,170,842 outstanding shares, price at $37/share. Notable shareholders include Dorothy Avalon (1,200,000 shares), John Avalon (13,300,000 shares), Lexis Avalon (450,000 shares), John Avalon Jr. (930,000 shares), James Landon (9,784 shares).


Analysis of options by Lynda Caplan based on how it would effect public perception of Grant and others.


Existing funds:

  • Personal Holdings: $21,043,613
    • Cash-equivalent: $625,011
    • Cronus High-Energy stock: $20,418,602
  • Avalon Hill Reclamation (90% ownership): $9,205,000

Value and risk of shorting Rio (John doesn't want this, because he's going to be a more likely suspect than Grant).

  • Invert swing and multiply by multiplier to determine result.
    • for full value, do openly, become social pariah
    • d% return value to launder, reduces detection chance to 10*multiplier% per quarter for four quarters.